"Expert bashing... is another distinguishing mark of junk thought, and the effectiveness of the technique depends on the public's inability to distinguish among good science, bad science, and pseudo-science. Scientific evidence, however overwhelming, is dismissed by the expert-bashers as politically biased. ... The scientific consensus on global warming is a favorite target of right-wing purveyors of junk thought." -- Susan Jacoby, in The Age of American Unreason
Susan Jacoby's national best-seller should be required reading -- especially for all those who believe mostly what they like to hear and confuse that with rationality. Most Americans are too distracted -- or too lazy -- to put intellectual sweat into serious reading or research. They're easy prey for junk.
But Jacoby warns that it's dangerous to confuse junk thought solely with ignorance, stupidity, or intellectual laziness "because it is often employed by highly intelligent people to mislead and confuse" those who lack the tools or time -- and all too often the will -- to critically evaluate claims and sources. Of course, the book isn't required reading, and won't be. Pity.
In an earlier column I cited polls by Peter Doran and others at the Univ. of Illinois, Chicago; and Dr. Naomi Oreskes at the Univ. of Cal., San Diego. Both show a clear and growing consensus: climate scientists are telling us human activity is a critical part of global warming. And, more importantly, that our failure to act may well have serious and irreversible consequences.
But most of us aren't climate scientists researching and publishing for peer review by other climate scientists. And most climate scientists are not good about making complex research easy to understand... nor is that their job.
It should be helpful to note professional organizations who support the consensus. Since 2001, 32 National Academies of Science across the globe, from Australia to Zimbabwe -- have issued statements supporting the findings of climate scientists. And there are countless other such organizations who agree.
The American Association for the Advancement of Science says: "The scientific evidence is clear: global climate change caused by human activities is occurring now, and it is a growing threat to society. ... The pace of change and the evidence of harm have increased markedly over the last five years. The time to control greenhouse gas emissions is now." Founded in 1848, AAAS has 262 affiliated societies and academies of science, serving 10 million globally.
In the U.S., among many other respected science organizations making similar statements are the American Chemical Society, American Institute of Physics, American Physical Society, American Geophysical Union, Geological Society of America, National Association of Geoscience Teachers, American Meteorological Society, American Society for Microbiology, and the American Public Health Association.
In contrast, there are the marketers of junk thought.
In earlier columns, I have come down hard on "distinguished" economics professor Walter E. Williams of George Mason University for his and his institution's connections to the oil-rich Koch brothers -- and the Kochs' involvement in "non-profit" front group propaganda.
In his Feb. 5 column Williams used Weather Channel founder John Coleman's "research" showing global warming is a conspiratorial hoax. (Incidentally, The Weather Channel doesn't claim Coleman now, so I guess both he and Williams think the Weather Channel has joined the conspirators.) In the column, Williams accuses professional climatologists and government research organizations of deliberately and dramatically reducing the number of climate monitoring stations in colder regions. They did so, Williams charges, to cook the data and show more warming than was real. Williams is selling junk thought.
I corresponded with David Easterling, Chief of Scientific Services at the National Climate Data Center. He told me, "The number of stations in our big data set does drop off, mainly [because] we can get real time data for only a subset not the entire data set. As for stations in high latitudes, Russia closed a good number of stations due to budget issues following the break up of the former Soviet Union. Canada also has closed some stations due to cost." Now get this:
Easterling continued, "The greatest warming has been in the high latitudes so dropping stations or actually areas with data in high latitudes would lead to less warming in the global temperatures, not more." Just the opposite of what Williams claims.
Jerry Meehl, research scientist at the Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, CO, explained: "Bob, the amplification of warming at high northern latitudes has a lot to do with so-called ice-albedo feedback. When you melt a little snow and ice with high reflectivity, more low reflectivity ocean or land is exposed, absorbing more sunlight, heating the surface more, which melts more snow and sea ice, thus absorbing even more sunlight and warming even more to melt more snow and ice, and so on, so that the relative increase in temperature in previously ice or snow-covered areas is quite a bit larger than elsewhere."
Williams says it's all an Al Gore plot. We'll talk more about that.

Graph shows relative percentages and categories who believe climate change is real and that human activity is a contributing factor. From the Doran, et.al. poll at the Univ. of Illinois,Chicago.














Comments (3)
Evidence indicate that the majority of those who oppose the global warming theory are those who support capitalism without any social restraints or real concern for the environment beyond their time.
Posted by Ken Poland
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February 22, 2010 9:26 PM
Posted on February 22, 2010 21:26
The folks out in Denver must have lots of hair or it's coarser than standard. Back in the '70s & '80s, when my mother lived in North Denver, we used to be out their quite frequently. Our youngest son, would stay home, if we'd let him, because the atmosphere was so loaded with something that he could hardly breath. Must not have been 'greenhouse' gas though. There was always a brown haze and whatever it was it bothered him where ever we were in the city. It seems to me that man competes quite well with mother nature at times. Acid rain in the North East industrial states used to be quite serious. Chemical and fertilizer polution of our vast water resources is due to man's competition with nature. The vast dust clouds that used to rise from the ground around me in the '30s was caused by man's manipulation of nature. The arid plowed soil certainly moved noticably more than the virgin prairie that was still intact. The water proof rooftops and paved streets, along with 'flood control channels and levies in the metropolitan areas are certainly a factor in dowstream flooding. Are those developments not a part of man's competition with nature.
I'm no scientist, but these old eyes have seen and my ears have heard reports that indicate man is quite capable of crapping in his own nest!
Bob, we don't always agree on everything, but you keep on writing. Anthony, I don't know how old you are, but you keep your eyes, ears, and nose open and in a few years you may get a little wiser.
Posted by Ken Poland
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February 26, 2010 8:29 AM
Posted on February 26, 2010 08:29
"Anthony Victor" exemplifies junk thought, and I thank him for illustrating my point.
(1)Nature Geoscience. First of all, the research by Mark Sidall and others was withdrawn voluntarily by the scientists, following peer-review. That's how science is supposed to work, in contrast to the junk thought factory. "Siddall said that he did not know whether the retracted paper's estimate of sea level rise was an overestimate or an underestimate." Several other studies have also predicted sea level rises, but vary as to the precise extent, but few predict it will be small or inconsequential. Here's a summary statement from a "Snopes" site to debunk global warming denier junk thought: "A new skeptic argument has emerged that upon close inspection, is a polar opposite to the scientific reality."
There's a lot more to this story, and a thorough account can be found at www.skepticalscience.com/Misinterpreting-retraction-of-rising-sea-level-predictions.html
The main skepticalscience.com site is an excellent exposition of other junk science claims.
(2)Thomas Karl. The dispute here is between two climate scientists: Thomas Karl and Roger Pielke. Difference of opinions on various sub-points is not uncommon. That's how science works, and is the point of peer review. The as yet unresolved issue is to what degree human land management is a factor in global warming. Bottom line: neither disputes antropogenic global warming.
(3)Natural influences. There are a number of "natural" on global climate, all are taken into account by bonafide climate scientists--but it is human activity that is tipping the natural balance--metaphorically like the straw that breaks the camel's back, or more scientifically like the percentage and duration of a known carcinogen to cause cancer.
(4)Proportion of fossil fuel gases. From the EPA "The largest source of CO2 emissions globally is the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas in power plants, automobiles, industrial facilities and other sources....When fossil fuels are burned to produce energy the carbon stored in them is emitted almost entirely as CO2." [Data from 2006 the GW Bush era] In addition to CO2 are 8 other gases commonly named. Once released they remain in the atmosphere for periods of 12 as many as 500 years. C02 is commonly estimated at 100 years, but that doesn't affect current emissions. Water vapor remains for about 9 days, and at least some can be attributed to global warming. Mr. Victor's metaphor is catchy but still junk thought unsupported by credible science. Note that no source is provided.
(5) As to the ad hominem. We'll let that redound to the credit or discredit, take your pick, of Mr. Victor who is strongly reminiscent of a small-fry EC troll who works for a large oil company in California. (Smile)
Posted by Bob Hooper
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February 27, 2010 11:23 AM
Posted on February 27, 2010 11:23