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« Borrowing to stimulate? | Main | Kansas Caucus Perspective »


Caucus Hangover

By Ally Klimkoski
February 6, 2008

Our buddy Joel Mathis over at the new site RedBlueAmerica identified it correctly... it was so hardcore that I know I'm exhausted.

The Caucus itself took for... ev... er. Not the voting part - oh no, once people got in the door it was lickity split, the trouble was getting them in the door. I feel like I got in pretty quick and I spent the rest of the time causing trouble and meeting and greeting with friends I hadn't seen in a while.

I got up at 7:30 this morning to check the CA results - still not fully in - reporting at 83% and my buddies over at CIRCLE needed to wait until at least 93% before they could start coming up with the numbers for youth turnout in the Golden State.

Joel claims that conservatives are coming to terms with their sad sorry loss to John McCain. Awww.... well isn't that too bad.... maybe next time that will teach you not to elect conservatives that aren't going to totally DESTROY OUR COUNTRY!!!! Hey, I'm just sayin'....

CIRCLE has numbers for turnout in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, New Mexico, Tennessee, Georgia, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Massachusetts...

There were a number of states that don't have that kind of data available. One of course is the Great State of Kansas. Despite the hard hard work of a writing partner of mine we couldn't get anything on demographics from Kansas. She said the KDP will have internal numbers but won't share that with the press. I say fooey! Why wouldn't you want people to know the unbelievable turnout numbers, the insane number of non-democrats who showed up to vote, and the count for those caucus sites?? What do ya do?

Mike Connery over at FM analyzes some numbers here:

"As a share of the Democratic electorate, young voters increased their share in every state for which comparable data is available.

In most states, that increased turnout was to the advantage of Barack Obama, who won the youth vote in 13 12 of the 15 states for which data is currently available. The margin by which Obama carried young voters in those states varied wildly. In some states, like Georgia, he maintained his towering advantage over Clinton among young voters, and in Missouri, where he won by a mere 10,000 votes, young voters may well have been the difference in his campaign. In other states, though, like California, Clinton cut that advantage down to just a few points. Clinton actually won California. Guess the CNN exit polls are still adjusting.

Regardless of which candidate carries the nomination next month, that increased turnout will be a big advantage for Democrats in the general election. In Connecticut, Georgia, Massachusetts, Missouri, New York and Tennessee combined, 458,000 more young people voted in the Democratic contest than the Republican. The actual amount varied widely from state to state with Connecticut at the low end (~19,000 more Democratic youth participants) and New York at the high end (~203,000 more).

The one exception to this rule thus far was Oklahoma, in which 10,000 more young voters participated in the Republican primary than the Democratic primary."

I saw Congrats to the great state of Oklahoma!! There is an excited youth population ready to be developed and recruited! They are just all voting for republicans. Not much surprise there. It seems there is a fairly substantial College Republicans operations there. Pity.

Anyway - this is what I got. Go visit Joel and Mike for more. I need another nap.


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